MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 07:49:35| >> :120:32990:32990:
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Dortmund logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Dortmund

De Paul (4'), Lino (32')
Lino (27'), Llorente (28'), Gimenez (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Haller (81')
Can (24'), Maatsen (53')

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid survive a late Borussia Dortmund fightback to claim a narrow 2-1 victory in the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final clash.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Atletico Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Borussia Dortmund.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawBorussia Dortmund
45.28% (0.25 0.25) 23.15% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.58% (-0.292 -0.29)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.307 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.341 -0.34)38.15% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.366 -0.37)60.42% (0.366 0.37)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)17.26% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.067 -0.07)47.58% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (-0.336 -0.34)23.8% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (-0.485 -0.48)57.96% (0.486 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45.28%
    Borussia Dortmund 31.58%
    Draw 23.14%
Atletico MadridDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 45.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: Atletico vs Dortmund

Atletico Madrid
60.9%
Draw
21.2%
Borussia Dortmund
18.0%
345
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Atletico
2-0
Dortmund
Niguez (33'), Griezmann (80')
Correa (6')

Sancho (31'), Akanji (90'), Reus (90')
Oct 24, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
4-0
Atletico
Witsel (38'), Guerreiro (73', 89'), Sancho (83')
Diallo (13'), Zagadou (90')

Partey (35'), Lemar (45'), Luis (82'), Costa (87'), Correa (90')
rhs 2.0
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