MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:14:51| >> :120:14058:14058:
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

Millar (83')
Hall (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoibraten (16'), Wembangomo (72'), Kristoffer Hagen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Linfield and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-0 New Saints
Wednesday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Linfield 0-2 Bodo/Glimt

While Linfield were on the right end of an astonishing comeback in their first-round second leg, Bodo/Glimt could have very well been battling for their place in the Conference League, and Knutsen will be determined to avoid any similar scares from here on in. The hosts will be as dogged on the defensive side as ever, but losing Cooper in the manner in which they did was a bitter blow, and we can only back Bodo/Glimt to claim a healthy first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.7%) and 0-1 (5.36%). The likeliest Linfield win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
LinfieldDrawBodo/Glimt
32.19% (-0.829 -0.83) 21.6% (-0.594 -0.59) 46.21% (1.42 1.42)
Both teams to score 69.28% (1.924 1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (2.651 2.65)30.13% (-2.654 -2.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (3.124 3.12)51.35% (-3.127 -3.13)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (0.839 0.84)19.59% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (1.351 1.35)51.53% (-1.353 -1.35)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (1.508 1.51)13.84% (-1.512 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.8% (2.907 2.91)41.2% (-2.91 -2.91)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 32.19%
    Bodo/Glimt 46.21%
    Draw 21.6%
LinfieldDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-0 @ 4.42% (-0.56 -0.56)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.101 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 8.74% (-0.594 -0.59)
2-2 @ 7.04% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-3 @ 2.52% (0.227 0.23)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.6%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.7% (0.233 0.23)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 4.64% (0.305 0.31)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.055 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.82% (0.257 0.26)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.116 0.12)
3-4 @ 1.25% (0.172 0.17)
1-5 @ 1.12% (0.155 0.16)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 46.21%

How you voted: Linfield vs Bodo/Glimt

Linfield
18.6%
Draw
11.6%
Bodo/Glimt
69.8%
86
rhs 2.0
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