Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.