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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Watford logo

Norwich
4 - 2
Watford

Barnes (20'), Sargent (28'), Sara (77'), Fassnacht (82')
Barnes (17'), Sargent (30'), Gibbs (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rajovic (42'), Asprilla (71')
Martins (45+1'), Porteous (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Watford

Excluding tough trips to Anfield and Leeds United's Elland Road, Norwich have been in good form of late and will be confident of continuing their playoff charge on Tuesday. Watford conclude a tricky trio of fixtures with a trip to East Anglia, and we believe that the Hornets will return to Hertfordshire empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWatford
48.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.82% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.44% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.71% (0.108 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.139 0.14)48.86% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.126 0.13)70.96% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.066999999999993 0.07)20.08% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.107 0.11)52.32% (-0.104 -0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.080999999999989 0.08)32.79% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.087999999999997 0.09)69.35% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 48.74%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 24.81%
Norwich CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Norwich vs Watford

Norwich City
67.4%
Draw
16.8%
Watford
15.8%
95
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
2-1
Norwich
Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Sargent (45')
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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