We said: Reading 1-2 Fulham
Despite their contrasting fortunes in the Championship this season, this is a difficult match to call. However, while we give Reading every chance of earning a result from this contest, Fulham's extra quality in the final third could see them edge this game by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.