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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional
0 - 1
Guairena


Prieto (46'), Cabrera (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Marin (53')
Salinas (24'), Ayala (31'), Godoy (35'), Jimenez (45'), Paniagua (60')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Club Nacional and Guairena.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Guairena 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Guairena win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Club NacionalDrawGuairena
43.18%26.42%30.4%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.82%53.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25%74.75%
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.87%
Guairena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95%32.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48%68.52%
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 43.18%
    Guairena 30.4%
    Draw 26.41%
Club NacionalDrawGuairena
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Nacional vs Guairena

Club Nacional
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Guairena
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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