Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
0.94) 
-0.28) 
