Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
