MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:11:22| >> :600:1182506:1182506:
Carlisle United
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Devitt (66')
Edmondson (76'), Devitt (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McNeill (40'), Forson (71')
Gore (76')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Manchester United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Carlisle 1-0 Gillingham
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Manchester United Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Man Utd U21s 2-2 Fulham U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawManchester United Under-21s
59.18% (0.221 0.22) 21.22% (0.198 0.2) 19.6% (-0.415 -0.41)
Both teams to score 56.95% (-1.426 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (-1.543 -1.54)40.46% (1.546 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (-1.605 -1.61)62.84% (1.608 1.61)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (-0.428 -0.43)13.35% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (-0.872 -0.87)40.24% (0.875 0.88)
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-1.312 -1.31)34.27% (1.314 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-1.429 -1.43)70.97% (1.433 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 59.18%
    Manchester United Under-21s 19.6%
    Draw 21.22%
Carlisle UnitedDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.361 0.36)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.5 0.5)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 59.18%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.317 0.32)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.9% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.6%

rhs 2.0
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