Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 60.71%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 20.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.