Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Aker Stadion
Molde5 - 1Hacken
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sonko (21')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brann 3-2 Molde
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Hacken 4-1 Norrkoping
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
We said: Molde 1-2 Hacken
This is a crucial match for both of these sides, having both lost their opening two matches in Group H. With Leverkusen likely to run away with the group, they need to start making up ground on Qarabag sooner rather than later. As such, a draw is of little use to either side, so we expect to see an entertaining game play out in Norway. The visitors arrive in better form than Molde, so we can envisage Hacken claiming their first ever win in a European group stage game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Hacken |
46.22% ( -1.76) | 21.25% ( -0.24) | 32.54% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 70.84% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
