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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
33.05% | 24.08% | 42.87% |
Both teams to score 60.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.96% | 42.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.56% | 64.44% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% | 24.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.61% | 59.38% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% | 19.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.1% | 51.9% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.98% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.08% Total : 42.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |