Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
Marsaxlokk1 - 2Partizani Tirana
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Marsaxlokk and Partizani Tirana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Marsaxlokk
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Marsaxlokk
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Marsaxlokk had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.75%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Marsaxlokk win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partizani Tirana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marsaxlokk | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
11.86% ( 0.07) | 20.2% ( 0.02) | 67.93% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 42.29% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.08) | 50.71% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% ( 0.07) | 72.61% ( -0.07) |
| Marsaxlokk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.15% ( 0.17) | 50.85% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.76% ( 0.12) | 85.24% ( -0.12) |
| Partizani Tirana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( -0) | 13.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.55% ( -0.01) | 41.44% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Marsaxlokk 11.86%
Partizani Tirana 67.92%
Draw 20.2%
| Marsaxlokk | Draw | Partizani Tirana |
| 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 11.86% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.2% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 13.75% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.45% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 67.92% |
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Partizani Tirana
1-1
Marsaxlokk
Murataj (2')
Zeka (71')
Zeka (71')
De Jesus Messias (15')
de Aguiar Gomes (66'), Goularte (83'), Aguirre (90+2')
de Aguiar Gomes (66'), Goularte (83'), Aguirre (90+2')
