Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Orange Vélodrome
Marseille2 - 1Basel
Coverage of the Conference League Last 16 clash between Marseille and Basel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 35 | 33 | 76 |
| 2 | Basel | 35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Basel |
| 38.56% | 28.47% | 32.97% |
| Both teams to score 46.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% | 60.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% | 80.36% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% | 30.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.59% | 66.41% |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.48% | 70.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 38.56%
Basel 32.96%
Draw 28.46%
| Marseille | Draw | Basel |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.56% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 11.08% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.96% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Basel
Marseille
90.5%Draw
8.3%Basel
1.2%169
