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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Marseille
Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Orange Vélodrome
Basel

Marseille
2 - 1
Basel

Milik (19' pen., 68')
Payet (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Esposito (79')
Burger (81'), Males (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Last 16 clash between Marseille and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawBasel
38.56%28.47%32.97%
Both teams to score 46.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.84%60.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.64%80.36%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.59%66.41%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.48%70.52%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.56%
    Basel 32.96%
    Draw 28.46%
MarseilleDrawBasel
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 11.08%
1-2 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.96%

How you voted: Marseille vs Basel

Marseille
90.5%
Draw
8.3%
Basel
1.2%
169
rhs 2.0
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