MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:43:50| >> :120:35995:35995:
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Generali Arena

Austria Vienna
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Galvao (49'), Fruchtl (90+2')
Galvao (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
King (8'), Dursun (89')
Alioski (32'), Yuksek (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Austria Vienna and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, July 29 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Austria Vienna 1-1 Fenerbahce

Despite the visitors boasting superior individual quality, we can envisage Austria Vienna digging in to claim a draw. That outcome would probably suit both parties, with Fenerbahce feeling that they are far more likely to win in front of a raucous Sukru Saracoglu Stadium next Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Austria ViennaDrawFenerbahce
33.57% (-0.07 -0.07) 25.98% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 40.45% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.87% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.078000000000003 0.08)50.45% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.068000000000001 0.07)72.38% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Austria Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)64.33% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)24.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.11499999999999 0.11)59.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Austria Vienna 33.57%
    Fenerbahce 40.45%
    Draw 25.97%
Austria ViennaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.45%

How you voted: Austria Vienna vs Fenerbahce

Austria Vienna
21.0%
Draw
24.0%
Fenerbahce
55.0%
100
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