MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:10:11| >> :60:606:606:
Ludogorets
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Roma logo

Ludogorets
2 - 1
Roma

Oliveira Souza (72'), Nonato (88')
Cafumana (38'), Nedyalkov (52'), Piotrowski (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zalgiris 3-3 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Roma
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 1-1 Roma

With plenty of European experience on their side - not least already this season - Ludogorets will prove no pushovers for a Roma squad shaken by their heavy loss at the weekend. A draw would represent an acceptable result for both sides, and that is the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRoma
19.4% (-0.038 -0.04) 22.3% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 58.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (-0.207 -0.21)45.57% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-0.196 -0.2)67.89% (0.2 0.2)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.166 -0.17)37.45% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.159 -0.16)74.23% (0.161 0.16)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)15.32% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.95% (-0.127 -0.13)44.05% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 19.4%
    Roma 58.3%
    Draw 22.3%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.77%
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.4%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.3%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Roma

Ludogorets Razgrad
11.7%
Draw
21.1%
Roma
67.3%
171
rhs 2.0
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