MX23RW : Friday, July 26 23:40:25| >> :600:3659592:3659592:
Luton Town
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Manchester City logo

Luton
2 - 6
Man City

Clark (45', 52')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Haaland (3', 18', 40', 55', 58'), Kovacic (72')

The Match

Match Report

Erling Haaland scores an outrageous five goals as Manchester City decimate Luton Town 6-2 in the FA Cup to reach the quarter-finals.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in Tuesday's FA Cup contest with Luton Town.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup clash with Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Man City
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-3 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawManchester City
14.13% (-1.143 -1.14) 17.18% (-0.176 -0.18) 68.69% (1.317 1.32)
Both teams to score 59.65% (-2.523 -2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.62% (-1.773 -1.77)31.37% (1.77 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.17% (-2.12 -2.12)52.83% (2.117 2.12)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (-2.622 -2.62)34.93% (2.618 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (-2.859 -2.86)71.67% (2.855 2.86)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.68% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)8.32% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)28.99% (0.439 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 14.13%
    Manchester City 68.69%
    Draw 17.18%
Luton TownDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 3.06% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 14.13%
1-1 @ 7.6% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.275 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.18%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.98% (0.71 0.71)
1-3 @ 7.83% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.45% (0.528 0.53)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.627 0.63)
1-4 @ 4.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.63% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-4 @ 2.56% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.3% (0.126 0.13)
2-5 @ 1.27% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-6 @ 1% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-6 @ 0.96% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 68.69%

How you voted: Luton vs Man City

Luton Town
16.5%
Draw
8.1%
Manchester City
75.5%
273
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
1-2
Man City
Adebayo (45+2')
Nakamba (58'), Doughty (77')
Silva (62'), Grealish (65')
Rodri (73')
rhs 2.0
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4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Chelsea00000000
7Crystal Palace00000000
8Everton00000000
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10Ipswich TownIpswich00000000
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12Liverpool00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
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