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Walsall
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Bolton logo

Walsall
2 - 1
Bolton

Gordon (59'), Jellis (90+1')
Williams (53'), Matt (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sheehan (55')
Schon (59'), Adeboyejo (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Walsall and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Walsall 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Following a sensational start to the League Two season, Walsall face arguably their toughest assignment yet as Bolton visit the Bescot in the FA Cup. Wanderers are enjoying a good run of form and should be confident of advancing past fourth-tier opposition, although we feel that the Saddlers will make Evatt's troops work extremely hard for a second-round spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
WalsallDrawBolton Wanderers
32.69% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 24.99% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 42.31% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (0.031999999999996 0.03)46.36% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (0.032 0.03)68.64% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.1% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.052999999999997 0.05)21.89% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (0.082000000000001 0.08)55.15% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 32.69%
    Bolton Wanderers 42.31%
    Draw 24.99%
WalsallDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.31%

How you voted: Walsall vs Bolton

Walsall
17.6%
Draw
11.8%
Bolton Wanderers
70.6%
17
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Bolton
2-1
Walsall
Lee (67'), Doyle (80' pen.)
John (86')
Perry (28')
Clarke (45'), Norman (90+2')
White (73')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Walsall
2-1
Bolton
Adebayo (44'), Holden (57')
Gordon (74')
Doyle (13')
Delaney (56'), Santos (77')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Third Round
Bolton
5-2
Walsall
Donaldson (58'), Magennis (61', 80', 87'), Guthrie (63' og.)
Magennis (40'), Donaldson (55')
Cook (19'), Beevers (68' og.)
Ferrier (84')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Bolton
4-1
Walsall
Madine (15'), O'Connor (26' og.), Trotter (30'), Long (87')
Taylor (57'), Spearing (83')
Oztumer (4')
Chambers (79'), Cuvelier (81')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Walsall
1-0
Bolton
McCarthy (25')
Etheridge (76')
Edwards (16')

Taylor (60'), Anderson (65'), Beevers (86'), Moxey (89')
Anderson (94')
rhs 2.0
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