Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Darlington win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.