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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
2 - 0
Southport

Main (6'), Cornish (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-3 Darlington
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Southport had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
44.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.11%30.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)47.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)69.76%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 44.06%
    Southport 30.83%
    Draw 25.11%
DarlingtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Southport
2-0
Darlington
Bennett (18', 88')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Southport
1-0
Darlington
Bainbridge (43')
Walton (54')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Southport
3-0
Darlington
Doyle (4'), Archer (43'), Carver (83')
rhs 2.0
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