Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Hadera win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Gornik Leczna had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gornik Leczna win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Hadera would win this match.