Hoffenheim

3 - 1

Elversberg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.