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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Bayern

Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Bayern Munich

Bayern's recent successful exploits against Hoffenheim should count for nought on Saturday, as Tuchel will have to put out a makeshift attack and has overseen several dismal defensive displays on the road of late. As such, the former champions' season seems destined to end on a sour note against Champions League-chasing Hoffenheim, who will then be forced to play the waiting game to learn their European fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
30.51% (-2.422 -2.42) 19.26% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 50.23% (2.489 2.49)
Both teams to score 77.54% (-1.147 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.63% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)19.37% (0.941 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.81% (-1.365 -1.36)37.19% (1.37 1.37)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-1.485 -1.49)15% (1.489 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (-2.896 -2.9)43.45% (2.902 2.9)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.22% (0.245 0.25)8.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.583 0.58)30.15% (-0.577 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.51%
    Bayern Munich 50.23%
    Draw 19.26%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-3 @ 1.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 30.51%
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-1 @ 6.08% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 3.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.32% (0.098 0.1)
4-4 @ 1.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.26%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.334 0.33)
2-3 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.371 0.37)
1-4 @ 3.65% (0.241 0.24)
2-4 @ 3.46% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.272 0.27)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.332 0.33)
3-4 @ 2.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.221 0.22)
1-5 @ 1.77% (0.135 0.14)
2-5 @ 1.68% (0.043 0.04)
3-5 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
36.6%
Draw
17.6%
Bayern Munich
45.8%
153
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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