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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 at 5am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
2 - 2
Sagan Tosu

Savio (34'), Hosoya (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Togashi (4'), Naganuma (67')
Kawahara (21'), Tezuka (47')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama FC
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
44.87% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 25.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.02% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.070999999999998 0.07)47.93% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.064999999999998 0.06)70.11% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (0.057999999999993 0.06)21.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (0.091999999999999 0.09)54.36% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)65.68% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.87%
    Sagan Tosu 30.02%
    Draw 25.1%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 7am
Gameweek 8
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Reysol
Naganuma (55')
Savio (75')
Jul 10, 2022 11am
Gameweek 21
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Reysol

Kikuchi (71')
Muto (19')
Kawaguchi (90+6')
Apr 29, 2022 8am
Gameweek 10
Reysol
1-4
Sagan Tosu
Hosoya (55')
Honda (27'), Tashiro (45'), Fukuta (64'), Iino (82')
Koizumi (30'), Fujita (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11am
Gameweek 25
Reysol
1-3
Sagan Tosu
Da Silva (37')
Segawa (49')
Higuchi (13'), Koyamatsu (31', 55')
Seok-Ho (75'), Park (90')
Mar 17, 2021 10am
Gameweek 5
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Reysol
Hayashi (29', 64')
Tashiro (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
9FC Tokyo166552625123
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol155731717022
11Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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