J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 4-0 Yokohama
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Both teams are heading into this clash on the back of successive wins across all competitions and will be high in confidence - however, Gamba are on a three-game winless streak against Sagan, and are enjoying a good run on the road Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
32.66% ( 0.06) | 26.99% ( 0.03) | 40.34% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( -0.08) | 54.77% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% ( -0.07) | 76.08% ( 0.06) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0) | 31.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( -0) | 67.64% ( 0) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( -0.08) | 26.63% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( -0.11) | 61.87% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 32.66%
Gamba Osaka 40.34%
Draw 26.99%
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.34% |
How you voted: Sagan Tosu vs Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu
25.0%Draw
25.0%Gamba Osaka
50.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7am
Gameweek 8
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Aug 26, 2023 11am
Feb 25, 2023 6am
May 29, 2022 9am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-10-18 00:38:15
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 65 | 33 | 32 | 65 |
2 | Vissel KobeVissel Kobe | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Machida Zelvia | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 59 |
4 | Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 53 |
5 | Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 53 |
6 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 48 |
7 | Cerezo OsakaCerezo | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 48 |
8 | Tokyo Verdy | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 43 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Yokohama F MarinosYokohama | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 39 |
14 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 38 |
16 | Kashiwa ReysolReysol | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 38 |
17 | Kyoto Sanga | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 38 |
18 | Jubilo Iwata | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 32 |
19 | Consadole SapporoConsadole | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 29 |
20 | Sagan Tosu | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 39 | 63 | -24 | 26 |
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