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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 18, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Nagoya Grampus


Harada (12')
Harada (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Inagaki (6'), Masui (50')
Izumi (45+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-2 Kawasaki
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
30.94% (1.426 1.43) 25.83% (0.107 0.11) 43.23% (-1.526 -1.53)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (0.182 0.18)50.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.162 0.16)72.5% (-0.157 -0.16)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (1.103 1.1)30.34% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (1.295 1.29)66.53% (-1.289 -1.29)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.646 -0.65)23.27% (0.652 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.953 -0.95)57.2% (0.96 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 30.94%
    Nagoya Grampus 43.23%
    Draw 25.82%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.42% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.245 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 2% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.94%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.352 -0.35)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.23%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 11am
Gameweek 31
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Junker (65')
Yonemoto (77'), Morishita (90+5')
Togashi (89')
Yamazaki (50')
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Aug 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 25
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Nagoya Grampus
Tezuka (90+1')
Inagaki (71')
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Gameweek 3
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Sagan Tosu
Fukuta (2' og.)
Yoshida (88')
Fukuta (30')
Koizumi (80')
Jul 17, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakano (48'), Sakai (51'), Koyamatsu (80')
Nakano (41')
Dudu (39' og.)
Inagaki (53')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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