Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.