Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Getafe in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Getafe.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
52.52% ( 0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.16) | 19.99% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 39.66% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.32% ( -1.04) | 63.68% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.04% ( -0.75) | 82.95% ( 0.75) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.25) | 24.66% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( -0.35) | 59.18% ( 0.35) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.64% ( -1.33) | 47.36% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.24% ( -1.01) | 82.75% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |