Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
38.75% | 27.05% | 34.21% |
Both teams to score 50.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.3% | 54.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.98% | 76.02% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% | 27.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% | 62.99% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% | 30.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% | 66.4% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 38.75% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |