We said: Granada 1-1 Celta Vigo
The pair played out a goalless draw when they locked horns in the corresponding match last season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. Granada certainly need all three points more than Celta, but the Sky Blues have been relatively strong on their travels this season, and we can see this game finishing all square.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.