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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Crawley
3 - 5
Shrewsbury

Swan (33'), Quitirna (62'), Kelley (90+5')
Williams (44'), Flint (53'), Mullarkey (75'), Mukena (90+9')
Flint (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marquis (26', 76' pen.), Nsiala (72'), Lloyd (86', 90+2')
Feeney (27'), Ojo (37'), Marquis (43'), Perry (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 3-4 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

Crawley and Shrewsbury will both be desperate to claim maximum points in Saturday's contest, but with the two teams lacking in confidence, we think that they could cancel one another out in a score draw at Broadfield Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawShrewsbury Town
40.72% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.78% (0.038 0.04) 34.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-0.162 -0.16)44.94% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.154 -0.15)67.29% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)22.04% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.174 -0.17)55.38% (0.175 0.18)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)25.33% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-0.058 -0.06)60.11% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 40.72%
    Shrewsbury Town 34.5%
    Draw 24.78%
Crawley TownDrawShrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Crawley vs Shrewsbury

Crawley Town
37.9%
Draw
44.8%
Shrewsbury Town
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 14, 2013 3pm
Apr 1, 2013 3pm
Shrewsbury
3-0
Crawley
Eaves (48', 67', 85')
Richards (45')

Clarke (75')
Dec 8, 2012 3pm
Crawley
2-2
Shrewsbury
Simpson (1', 81')
Connolly (43'), Akpan (45')
Richards (14'), Taylor (34')
Feb 27, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham9711179822
2Wrexham106221881020
3Mansfield TownMansfield96211711620
4Exeter CityExeter10613126619
5Lincoln CityLincoln9531158718
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe95221713417
7Stockport CountyStockport9441137616
8Charlton AthleticCharlton10514109116
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield105051411315
10Blackpool104331716115
11Barnsley104331515015
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough114341921-215
13Stevenage1042487114
14Bolton WanderersBolton94231515014
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham113531214-214
16Wigan AthleticWigan1034395413
17Reading94141314-113
18Bristol Rovers104151316-313
19Leyton Orient102261014-48
20Northampton TownNorthampton92251117-68
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury122281322-98
22Crawley TownCrawley10217818-107
23Burton Albion90451019-94
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge9018617-111


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