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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
40.72% ( -0.09) | 24.78% ( 0.04) | 34.5% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( -0.16) | 44.94% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -0.15) | 67.29% ( 0.16) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0.12) | 22.04% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( -0.17) | 55.38% ( 0.18) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% ( -0.04) | 25.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% ( -0.06) | 60.11% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Exeter CityExeter | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
6 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
17 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |