MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:21:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
3 - 0
MK Dons

Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 4-4 Sutton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 MK Dons

 MK Dons have seen the goals fly in during recent weeks, and we expect more excitement in Monday's first leg, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a draw against a Crawley side that has avoided defeat in each of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.65% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.52% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.012 0.01)21.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)54.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.24% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.65%
    MK Dons 40.86%
    Draw 23.48%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.86%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
MK Dons
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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