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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | MK Dons |
35.89% (![]() | 26.39% (![]() | 37.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% (![]() | 51.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% (![]() | 73.62% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% (![]() | 27.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% (![]() | 63.39% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% (![]() | 62.01% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 12.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
> League Two Full Table |