Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
