MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:34:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
1 - 1
Toluca

Garcia (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Angulo (16')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 3-2 Juarez
Sunday, March 3 at 1am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawToluca
29.37% (0.208 0.21) 24.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 46.16% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.08% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (0.151 0.15)45.45% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.145 0.15)67.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.22200000000001 0.22)28.83% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.275 0.27)64.69% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)19.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)51.86% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 29.37%
    Toluca 46.16%
    Draw 24.46%
JuarezDrawToluca
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.37%
1-1 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.13% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Toluca
2-4
Juarez
Morales (20'), Volpi (70' pen.)
Volpi (28'), Ruiz (35')
Araujo (28')
Urzi (18'), Saucedo (64'), Escoto (77'), Garcia (90+6')
Chavez (45+6'), Saucedo (50'), Pasquel Colin (86')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
1-1
Juarez
Volpi (45+4' pen.)
Chavez (69')
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Toluca
3-0
Juarez
Sanvezzo (23'), Gonzalez (46'), Ruiz (90+2')
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 6
Juarez
1-1
Toluca
Olivera (88')
Meneses (90+2')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Toluca
0-1
Juarez
Castaneda (19'), Baeza (59'), Ortega (75')
Garcia (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!