Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON
Guadalajara4 - 1Atlas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Atlas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Monday, October 2 at 12.20am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Puebla
Friday, September 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Friday, September 29 at 3am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
Result | ||
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Atlas |
41.41% ( 0.08) | 27.84% ( -0.19) | 30.75% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.57% ( 0.72) | 58.43% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.97% ( 0.56) | 79.03% ( -0.56) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( 0.39) | 27.77% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( 0.49) | 63.35% ( -0.49) |
Atlas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( 0.47) | 34.54% ( -0.47) |