MX23RW : Monday, December 23 05:49:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 1
Queretaro

Lopez (2', 66'), Volpi (58' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanvezzo (40')
Gularte (36'), Barrera (61'), Escamilla (76')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-2 Toluca
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-0 Queretaro
Thursday, October 5 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawQueretaro
53.17% (2.261 2.26) 22.67% (-0.362 -0.36) 24.16% (-1.904 -1.9)
Both teams to score 58.57% (-0.807 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-0.145 -0.15)41.37% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-0.148 -0.15)63.76% (0.142 0.14)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (0.735 0.73)15.58% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (1.356 1.36)44.55% (-1.362 -1.36)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-1.579 -1.58)30.61% (1.572 1.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.14% (-1.908 -1.91)66.85% (1.902 1.9)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 53.17%
    Queretaro 24.16%
    Draw 22.66%
TolucaDrawQueretaro
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.276 0.28)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.229 0.23)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.403 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.242 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.355 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 24.16%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Queretaro
1-0
Toluca
Torres (31')
Oct 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-1
Queretaro
Fernandez (29' pen.), Navarro (45+2'), Sanvezzo (57' pen., 77')
Nahuelpan (63')
Feb 25, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 7
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca

Mendoza (48'), Aguerre (87')
Fernandez (90+5')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
1-1
Queretaro
Chavez (63')
Samudio (35'), Juan Vazquez (45+3'), Sambueza (90+2')
Dos Santos (87')
Olivera (26'), Vera (45+4')
Jan 10, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 1
Toluca
3-1
Queretaro
Castaneda (31'), Canelo (32'), Estrada (62')
Baeza (17')
Sepulveda (23' pen.)
Magallanes (37'), Rea (51'), Madrigal (66'), Pablo Meza (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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