Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 23, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca2 - 1Santos Laguna
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 1-0 Toluca
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Liga MX
Thursday, July 14 at 3am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, July 17 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 17 at 1.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Atlas | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Club America | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
33.37% ( -0.7) | 25.97% ( 0.04) | 40.65% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.85% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
