Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.76% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.38) | 53.95% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.32) | 75.4% ( 0.31) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.08) | 19.25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.13) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.07% ( -0.78) | 41.92% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% ( -0.69) | 78.37% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 53 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 30 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 27 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
13 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 25 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 49 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 37 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Dallas | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 24 |
13 | St Louis City | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 14 |