Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.