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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Houston Dynamo

New England
3 - 0
Houston

Borrero (42'), Wood (53'), Bye (65')
Buck (46'), Jones (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dorsey (18'), Olsen (19'), Carrasquilla (24'), Clark (37'), Bartlow (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 New England
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Houston
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Having ground out a hard-fought victory over Charlotte FC last weekend, New England Revolution look set to secure back-to-back wins at the expense of Houston Dynamo, although the visitors are expected to put up a decent fight.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawHouston Dynamo
50.32% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 23.86% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)45.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)67.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)18.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)48.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)67.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 50.32%
    Houston Dynamo 25.82%
    Draw 23.85%
New England RevolutionDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.32%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.82%

How you voted: New England vs Houston

New England Revolution
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
Houston
3-1
New England
Quintero (37'), Picault (76' pen., 85')
Gil (63' pen.)
Farrell (31')
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Houston
P-P
New England
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
New England
2-1
Houston
Delamea Mlinar (51'), Bunbury (91')
Delamea Mlinar (45'), Farrell (54'), Agudelo (83')
Ceren (25')
Quioto (43'), Cabezas (82'), Fuenmayor (86')
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
Houston
0-2
New England

Machado (69'), Fuenmayor (86')
Beasley (35')
Bunbury (15'), Penilla (71')
Somi (52'), Fagundez (64')
Apr 8, 2017 7pm
New England
2-0
Houston
Kamara (52'), Agudelo (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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