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Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Citi Field
Chicago Fire

NY City
2 - 2
Chicago Fire

Martinez (15', 22')
Gray (50'), Freese (90+3'), Parks (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cuypers (78'), Gutierrez (90+4' pen.)
Gimenez (65'), Navarro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York City FC 2-0 Chicago Fire

The Pigeons should have gained massive confidence from their Leagues Cup performances, while the Fire still seem to be searching for their true identity, so we expect a comfortable victory for the Boys in Blue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
62.68% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 19.64%17.68% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.13% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)58.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)11.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.37% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)33.71% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 62.68%
    Chicago Fire 17.68%
    Draw 19.64%
New York City FCDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22%
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.68%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.64%
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.68%

How you voted: NY City vs Chicago Fire

New York City FC
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Chicago Fire
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 1.30am
Chicago Fire
0-0
NY City
Omsberg (25'), Acosta (45'), Koutsias (80'), Pineda (84')
Haak (21'), Sands (60')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
Aug 21, 2022 11pm
May 22, 2022 10pm
NY City
1-0
Chicago Fire
Heber (23' pen.)
Acevedo (46'), Martins (89'), Parks (90+4')

Sekulic (63')
rhs 2.0
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