Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.
