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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
3 - 4
Montreal

Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Criscito (23'), Laryea (45+4'), Bernardeschi (83')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Choiniere (45+1'), Quioto (75'), Toye (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 CF Montreal

 TFC should be the desperate team heading into this encounter, but despite how far they have come over the past couple of months, their backline still lacks consistency and structure, two flaws which have cost them some valuable points. Montreal's backline have been equally poor, though this team have proven that they can be a potent attacking unit away from home, and we expect them to create their share of opportunities and eventually find the back of the net in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
43.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.86% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.61% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.17 0.17)41.14% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.172 0.17)63.53% (-0.169 -0.17)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.072999999999993 0.07)19.16% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.119 0.12)50.82% (-0.114 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.102 0.1)24.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.139 0.14)59.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.53%
    CF Montreal 32.61%
    Draw 23.85%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
CF Montreal
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
1-0
Toronto
MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')

Bradley (46')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
Sep 10, 2020 1am
Montreal
1-2
Toronto
Wanyama (53')
Piatti (32'), Altidore (89')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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