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Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
3 - 4
Montreal

Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Criscito (23'), Laryea (45+4'), Bernardeschi (83')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Choiniere (45+1'), Quioto (75'), Toye (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 CF Montreal

TFC should be the desperate team heading into this encounter, but despite how far they have come over the past couple of months, their backline still lacks consistency and structure, two flaws which have cost them some valuable points. Montreal's backline have been equally poor, though this team have proven that they can be a potent attacking unit away from home, and we expect them to create their share of opportunities and eventually find the back of the net in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
43.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.86% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.61% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.17 0.17)41.14% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.172 0.17)63.53% (-0.169 -0.17)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.072999999999993 0.07)19.16% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.119 0.12)50.82% (-0.114 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.102 0.1)24.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.139 0.14)59.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.53%
    CF Montreal 32.61%
    Draw 23.85%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
Draw
CF Montreal
Toronto
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
CF Montreal
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
Sep 10, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City62229908
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Austin FCAustin741253213
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
8Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
9St Louis City72234408
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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