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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Montreal Impact

Toronto
3 - 4
Montreal

Bernardeschi (5' pen.), Insigne (7', 90+3')
Criscito (23'), Laryea (45+4'), Bernardeschi (83')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Miller (19'), Mihailovic (21'), Kamara (43'), Johnston (54')
Choiniere (45+1'), Quioto (75'), Toye (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 CF Montreal

 TFC should be the desperate team heading into this encounter, but despite how far they have come over the past couple of months, their backline still lacks consistency and structure, two flaws which have cost them some valuable points. Montreal's backline have been equally poor, though this team have proven that they can be a potent attacking unit away from home, and we expect them to create their share of opportunities and eventually find the back of the net in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
43.53% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.86% (-0.032 -0.03) 32.61% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.92% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (0.17 0.17)41.14% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (0.172 0.17)63.53% (-0.169 -0.17)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.072999999999993 0.07)19.16% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.119 0.12)50.82% (-0.114 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (0.102 0.1)24.63% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (0.139 0.14)59.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.53%
    CF Montreal 32.61%
    Draw 23.85%
TorontoDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: Toronto vs Montreal

Toronto
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
CF Montreal
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
1-0
Toronto
MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')

Bradley (46')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
Sep 10, 2020 1am
Montreal
1-2
Toronto
Wanyama (53')
Piatti (32'), Altidore (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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