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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
Toronto FC

Orlando City
4 - 0
Toronto

Araujo (16'), McGuire (22'), Dan Thor­halls­son (77'), Kara (84')
Gallese (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Coello (45+1'), Bernardeschi (47'), Petretta (80')
Bernardeschi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-0 Toronto

As Toronto have only scored seven away goals and are yet to win on the road, a team under interim management and shorn of several international stars is set to come up short once more. Orlando seemed to find their rhythm during Saturday's convincing win and will surely score at least once.

How to watch

You can watch Orlando City vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawToronto
61.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 20.91%17.49%
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.84% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)40.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.59%
    Toronto 17.49%
    Draw 20.91%
Orlando CityDrawToronto
2-0 @ 10.21%
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 61.59%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.91%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.58%
1-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.49%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Toronto

Orlando City
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Toronto
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
May 14, 2022 8pm
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Toronto
1-1
Orlando City
Altidore (72')
Bono (76')

Schlegel (68'), Perea (79')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Toronto
2-3
Orlando City
Akinola (10'), Osorio (39')
Delgado (64'), Gonzalez (67')
Akindele (1'), Urso (84')
Urso (70'), Moutinho (75'), Nani (90+8')
May 23, 2021 12am
Gameweek 8
Orlando City
1-0
Toronto
Akindele (12')
Akindele (77')

Soteldo (21'), Auro (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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