Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Exploria Stadium
We said: Orlando City 1-1 Chicago Fire
As Orlando have struggled to meet expectations at home this year, Chicago will fancy their chances of registering a third straight away win, to close within two points of their hosts in the Eastern Conference standings. However, they can often be caught out defensively, so a draw may have to suffice.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.22% . A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.85% .
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.99%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
Result Orlando City Draw Chicago Fire 56.22% ( -0.28) 22.93% ( 0.02) 20.85% ( 0.26)
Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.35)
53.69% ( 0.27) 46.31% ( -0.27)
31.4% ( 0.25) 68.6% ( -0.26)
83.72% 16.28% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 54.17% ( 0) 45.83% ( -0.01)
63.64% ( 0.42) 36.36% ( -0.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.85% ( 0.42) 73.15% ( -0.42)
Orlando City 56.22%
Chicago Fire 20.85%
Draw 22.92%
Orlando City Draw Chicago Fire 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.22% 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.85%
How you voted: Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
Orlando City
Draw
Chicago Fire
9
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference
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