MX23RW : Friday, April 18 20:13:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Scunthorpe United
National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
3 - 1
Chester

Roberts (36'), Kelly (56'), Fadera (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Willoughby (90+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scunthorpe United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChester FC
45.92% (0.124 0.12) 26.81% (-0.023 -0.02) 27.26% (-0.099 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (0.027999999999999 0.03)56.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76% (0.024999999999999 0.02)77.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (0.072999999999993 0.07)24.42% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (0.102 0.1)58.85% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)36.04% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.067 -0.07)72.82% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 45.91%
    Chester FC 27.26%
    Draw 26.81%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 12.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Chester
0-0
Scunthorpe
Woodthorpe (14'), Glendon (68')
Beestin (35')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Scunthorpe
2-2
Chester
McAlinden (59'), Butterfield (82')
McAlinden (68')
Tollitt (29'), Glendon (65')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Chester
2-0
Scunthorpe
Caton (31'), Whitehouse (68')
Dec 26, 2004 3pm
Chester
1-1
Scunthorpe
Ellison (19')
Bayliss (24'), Ellison (75'), Bolland (88')
Torpey (3')
Baraclough (39'), Sparrow (89')
Sep 11, 2004 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-2
Chester
Butler (76')
Bolland (31'), Ellison (24')
Carden (64'), Drummond (69'), Edmondson (83')
Belle (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster442681080344686
2Brackley Town442751268422686
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe442412870304084
4Chester FCChester442312968442481
5Hereford UnitedHereford4422101267452276
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn442210125142976
7Buxton442351672492374
8Chorley4420131166481873
9Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton4421101355401573
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor4419131273502370
11Darlington441715125852666
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports441711165451362
13Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath441512176257557
14Alfreton TownAlfreton441413175056-655
15Marine AFC441510194054-1455
16Leamington FCLeamington44159205153-254
17South Shields44166225967-854
18RadcliffeRadcliffe441311205569-1450
19Oxford CityOxford City441214185572-1750
20SouthportSouthport441213194157-1649
21Needham Market44109254372-2939
22Rushall Olympic4498274090-5035
23Warrington Town44612263468-3430
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic44753235105-7026


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!