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National League South | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
5 - 0
Eastbourne

Lodovica (8'), Ruff (10'), Olowu (62'), Jackson (65'), Yila (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-1 Hampton
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawEastbourne Borough
53.23% (-0.113 -0.11) 23.47% (0.035 0.04) 23.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.15% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)17.17% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (-0.124 -0.12)47.42% (0.12 0.12)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (0.021999999999991 0.02)33.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.45% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 53.23%
    Eastbourne Borough 23.3%
    Draw 23.46%
Chelmsford CityDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 53.23%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.3%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Eastbourne
2-1
Chelmsford City
Olowu (42' og.), Hutchinson (63')
Jackson (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood26157448202852
2Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd271410342251752
3Maidstone UnitedMaidstone27149444232151
4Truro CityTruro City27147640241649
5Worthing2614754033749
6Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne28131053326749
7Dorking WanderersDorking27137755381746
8Weston-super-MareWeston2712873931844
9Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels2610973230239
10Hampton & RichmondHampton2610883729838
11Farnborough TownFarnborough26115103536-138
12Chesham UnitedChesham2610793739-237
13Chelmsford CityChelmsford City269984237536
14Slough TownSlough279994541436
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch258892728-132
16Chippenham TownChippenham2795133437-332
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2694133448-1431
18Salisbury2679103234-230
19Bath City2685132331-829
20Welling UnitedWelling United2883172950-2127
21St Albans CitySt Albans City26310132541-1619
22Enfield Town2754182657-3119
23Aveley2645172847-1917
24Weymouth2729161739-2215


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