MX23RW : Monday, February 3 11:52:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road
Ebbsfleet United

Welling United
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Payne (34', 49', 66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McQueen (19'), Wright (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Welling United
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
20.75% (0.231 0.23) 23.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 56.23% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.388 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.15% (0.344 0.34)46.85% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (0.323 0.32)69.1% (-0.327 -0.33)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.432 0.43)36.78% (-0.435 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.429 0.43)73.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)16.47% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (0.080000000000005 0.08)46.17% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 20.75%
    Ebbsfleet 56.22%
    Draw 23.01%
Welling UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.82% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 20.75%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 10.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.85% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.93% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.92% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 56.22%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Welling United
Tanner (45+5')
Kasim (20')
Payne (39')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
gameweek 36
Welling United
2-4
Ebbsfleet
Derry (7'), Shokunbi (90+2')
Finney (36'), Bingham (44' pen.), Coulthirst (49'), Poleon (79')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Ebbsfleet
6-0
Welling United
Tanner (1', 38'), Bingham (9', 24'), Egan (40'), Romain (88')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Welling United
4-3
Ebbsfleet
Durojaiye (9'), Akinyemi (37', 49' pen.), Campbell (86')
Taylor (25'), Poleon (59'), Wood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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4Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne30151053728955
5Boreham WoodBoreham Wood28157650262452
6Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd291410542271552
7Truro CityTruro City29148740271350
8Weston-super-MareWeston3013984437748
9Hampton & RichmondHampton28128840291144
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels29111083734343
11Chesham UnitedChesham2810993941-239
12Chelmsford CityChelmsford City2991194440438
13Chippenham TownChippenham29115134039138
14Farnborough TownFarnborough28115123639-338
15Slough TownSlough3099124850-236
16Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.28105133849-1135
17AFC HornchurchHornchurch2789102830-233
18Salisbury28711103436-232
19Bath City2887132432-831
20Welling UnitedWelling United3093183456-2230
21Enfield Town2965182858-3023
22St Albans CitySt Albans City28312132743-1621
23Aveley2955193153-2220
24Weymouth30310172343-2019


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