Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
55.93% ( -0.35) | 22.86% ( 0.04) | 21.2% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 54% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% ( 0.2) | 45.6% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( 0.19) | 67.92% ( -0.19) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( -0.05) | 16.13% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.44% ( -0.09) | 45.56% ( 0.09) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.38% ( 0.42) | 35.62% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% ( 0.43) | 72.39% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Eastleigh |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.93% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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